Sunday, March 3, 2013

Trade Guideline for Monday

On Friday Nasdaq opened with a gap-down and tank for 15 minutes down to support and .618 retracement of the uptrend that started on Tuesday morning.

A bounce from support turned impulsive-up (reversal up) in the morning, implying that the gap-down was in fact more likely wave C and not wave 3, and the morning rally was either wave 1 or A of a new uptrend. Note that Wave C opening gap tends to produce an opening gap-reversal.

If so, Friday afternoon sideways action was wave B and on Monday we should wave 3 up, and may be a gap-open. Wave 3 gap would be a trending gap, but always on a look out for wave C gap-reversal. 

Key price level for trend directional bias on Monday is 2750 (Resistance/Support level.

Chart below showing a likely path for Monday if price action is above 2750 price level.

With price action below 2750 on Monday then the above analysis is invalid. The chart below outlines another potential path for Nasdaq NQ on Monday.